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India’s Fertility Rate Falls Below Replacement Level: Why It Matters

June 9, 2026, 10:33 GMT

India’s fertility rate has dropped to 1.9 children per woman, slipping below the replacement level of 2.1. This demographic shift signals a profound transformation for the world’s most populous country. Experts note that while declining fertility reflects improved education, urbanization, and access to healthcare, it also raises concerns about an aging population and shrinking workforce in the decades ahead. Policymakers face the challenge of balancing economic growth with social support systems, as India’s demographic dividend begins to narrow. Analysts warn that without reforms in pensions, healthcare, and labor participation, the country could confront economic strain similar to that seen in Japan and parts of Europe.

(Source – Al Jazeera)

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